If a Trump-backed candidate loses, on the other hand, it’s seen as a stinging rebuke.
But the results so far actually reveal a different story — and suggest it’s time to stop viewing Trump as a bellwether of all things about the GOP.
Whether they result in a win, a loss or a race that’s too close to call, the numbers for Vance, Cawthorn and Oz paint a strikingly similar picture, one that suggests two things: 1) the size of the Trump base among GOP primary voters is consistent, but small and 2) Trump’s endorsement, while helpful, is nowhere near being a golden ticket.
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