The Pentagon’s UFO hunters seem to coin new acronyms at a rate of about one a year, and may now need another—unexplained delayed object.
The UDO in question is the intelligence community’s second annual report on military sightings of what are now called unexplained aerial phenomena. Originally expected in October, then promised by year-end, it appeared Thursday, sticking another pin in the five-year UFO belief bubble fostered by the U.S. government itself.
In an irony the world will be slow to appreciate, 60 years of Roswell paranoia has been stood on its head. The intelligence the U.S. was hiding is intelligence that suggests UFOs are not alien spacecraft but ordinary drones, balloons, wind-blown plastic bags, etc. The government’s desire to keep its own secrets was a key inflator of the UFO bubble.
In the new report, all hints of woo-woo and uncanniness are gone, in favor of worry about the hazard airspace “clutter” poses to air traffic. Unsurprisingly, the reported sightings increased with the increased attention. Of 195 incidents that could be explained, 100% were not due to alien visitation. Of course, the genie won’t go back in the bottle easily because 171 remain unexplained. But the truth is out there: If 100% of explained events don’t involve aliens, what is the assumed rate of alien involvement in the unexplained events? If thousands of incidents are examined over decades and none yield proof of alien visitation, what should we assume about the background incidence of alien visitation?
On the flipside, if aliens ever do visit, expect the evidence not to be ambiguous or hiding behind a pile of ordinary unexplained events.
Ukraine perhaps accounts for the change in tone. Suddenly, it was no longer suitable to have the world believing the Pentagon either had lost its mind or was using UFOs to hide its own possession of uncanny, destabilizing military capabilities. The risk of a mass-hysteria outbreak couldn’t be ruled out. Suppose, in a context of widespread belief cultivated by the government, a military pilot were to crash after chasing a UFO, as happened in 1948 to a Kentucky air guardsman who crashed his P-51 while pursuing what was later judged to be a secret U.S. government balloon?
One puzzle remains: why the U.S. government for so long seemed pleased by its role in propagating the UFO frenzy, before turning on a dime a year ago—a…
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