A new poll conducted entirely after last week’s debate indicates Vice President Kamala Harris holding a three-point edge over former President Donald Trump in the crucial battleground state of Wisconsin.
Harris stands at 48% support among likely voters in Wisconsin, with Trump at 45% in an AARP poll conducted Sept 11-14 and released on Wednesday. The vice president’s three-point margin over the former president is within the poll’s overall sampling error of plus or minus four points.
Democrat-turned-Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. – who last month suspended his campaign and backed Trump – stands at 2% support in the poll, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 1%. One percent said they would back a different candidate, with 2% undecided.
A Wisconsin judge on Monday denied Kennedy’s request to drop his name from the presidential ballot, ruling that state law requires candidates to remain on the ballot unless they die.
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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump debate on Sept. 10, 2024 in Philadelphia. (Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Contributing to Harris’ overall edge is an 11-point advantage among independent voters, as well as an 11-point lead among women voters compared to a 7-point advantage for Trump among men.
The poll also indicated a large geographic divide, with Harris far ahead among urban and suburban voters, while Trump enjoyed a large lead among rural voters.
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The poll’s release also points out that “the educational attainment gap is large, with Trump leading non-college voters by 10-points, but Harris up 24-points among college+ voters.”
When the third party and independent presidential candidates are removed from the questionnaire, the poll indicated Harris at 49% and Trump at 48% in a head-to-head match up, with 3% undecided.
Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, hold a campaign rally in Milwaukee on Aug. 20, 2024. (Reuters/Kevin…
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