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But that was a big if, as Buffalo had to replace its top two receivers, Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, over the last couple years. Diggs and Davis finished first and third on the team in targets in 2023, and they were far and away Allen’s No. 1 and No. 2 options back in in 2022.
So far this year, however, even with second-year TE Dalton Kincaid yet to get going, Allen and the Bills offense haven’t missed a beat. As a passer, Allen has been unstoppable, completing 75 percent of his passes for 634 yards, 7 TDs and 0 interceptions. He’s also added two more scores on the ground while averaging 5 yards per carry on 17 rushes.
Six players have caught at least one TD, and Allen (2 rushing TDs) has combined with James Cook (3 rushing TDs) to make Buffalo the highest-scoring team in the league through three weeks.
Allen and the Bills’ first three opponents — Arizona, Miami and Jacksonville — are a combined 2-7, and the competition is about to heat up. Buffalo will play Baltimore, Houston and New York, all on the road, in Weeks 4-6.
Still, now is a great time to invest in Allen, who is well on his way to having odds shorter than even money by mid-October.
NFL MVP Betting Analysis: Best Value Bets
Right now, oddsmakers give Mahomes just slightly longer odds than Allen, but the Chiefs’ star has hardly posted MVP-level statistics.
Patrick Mahomes Yet to Play at MVP Level
In fact, Mahomes has been mediocre by several measures so far, though he has done enough to get Kansas City to 3-0 despite a couple tough early-season matchups.
Regardless of the opposition, though. Mahomes’ stats through three games leave a lot to be desired. His completion percentage (69.6) has been excellent, but he’s thrown for just 219.7 yards per game on average of just over 30 attempts per game. The biggest cause for concern with Mahomes is his TD-to-interception ratio, which is 5-to-4. He threw for two TDs and an interception in his team’s Week 3 win over Atlanta, but he had as many picks as touchdowns against both Cincinnati in Week 2 and Baltimore in Week 1.
Mahomes might stay in this race for a while if Kansas City keeps winning, but based on his play in September, he doesn’t offer any value, especially not at as…
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