US Politics

Fox News projects Democrat Tammy Baldwin survives tight race to hold Wisconsin Senate seat

Eric Hovde, Tammy Baldwin

The Fox News Decision Desk projects that Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., managed to survive a tough re-election battle, defeating her Republican opponent in the swing state. 

She overcame challenger Eric Hovde, a Republican businessman who sought to unseat her. He was notably endorsed by former President Trump. 

Baldwin will now serve a third term in the upper chamber after first being elected in 2012. 

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Hovde and Baldwin faced off for a competitive Wisconsin Senate seat. (Reuters)

The race in Wisconsin was considered particularly competitive given the expectation that the state would also be decisive in the presidential election. With the steep decline in split-ticket voting, a Senate candidate would have a much greater chance at winning if the presidential candidate also took the state. 

The Fox News Power Rankings rated Wisconsin as a toss up in the presidential election as of mid-October. In late September, the Senate race was rated “Leans Democrat.” 

Top political handicapper, the Cook Political Report, had similarly long held that the Wisconsin Senate race was in the “Lean Democrat” category, but last month shifted its rating to a “Toss up,” citing a closing polling gap between the candidates. 

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Eric Hovde in Green Bay, Wisconsin

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Eric Hovde arrives to speak at a rally hosted by President Trump on April 2, 2024, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

A source familiar confirmed to Fox News Digital in October that Baldwin’s internal polling had shown the candidates within the margin of error. 

Baldwin ran unopposed in the Democrats’ Senate primary and Hovde avoided a competitive primary with no prominent opponents in the Republican race. 

During the campaign, Baldwin attacked the Republican for his business ventures, highlighting his history as a banker, with one of his financial institutions originating in California. 

Hovde emphasized Baldwin’s lengthy career in Washington, D.C., thus far and the little daylight between her voting record and the policies of President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris. He also stressed that Baldwin and her partner Maria Brisbane, a private wealth adviser, are not married, and that because of this, the senator avoids having to disclose her financial information and any potential conflicts of interest. 

WISCONSIN SENATE RACE…

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